Bryce harper contract12/27/2023 ![]() Harper and Philly are committing to each other for the long term after lots of belief he wanted West Coast team. Source says Harper did not want an opt out in the contract. He also secured a no-trade clause in the contract. All rights reserved.According to multiple reports, Harper wanted it that way. Terms of Use and Privacy Policy and Safety Information / Your California Privacy Rights are applicable to you. ^ Back to Top ^ © 2023 ESPN Internet Ventures. Still, Harper has to stay healthy, which he didn't do in 20 he has to repeat this performance, which seems likely given his age, but you never know, maybe it was a career year and a team has to have the audacity to spend that much on one player.įor more on the Nationals, check out the Nationals Baseball blog. And according to Forbes, operating profits for many teams are high enough to afford this kind of contract. You get the idea: The big-market teams will have money to spend. By then, the Yankees will have wiped out all their big contracts except Masahiro Tanaka and Jacoby Ellsbury the Dodgers have only Clayton Kershaw signed past 2018 (although he has an opt-out after 2018) the Red Sox mostly clear the books after 2019, other than David Price the Phillies will be ready to spend big by then. No offense to Stanton, but he's never had a season that came close to what Harper did in 2015, and that contract was signed without him testing free agency and getting other offers. The biggest total value contract was the $325 million contract that Giancarlo Stanton signed with the Marlins. Is $500 million ridiculous? The highest annual average salary right now belongs to Zack Greinke at $34.4 million, and he's a pitcher in his 30s. His agent is Scott Boras, so keep that in consideration as well. That's a ton of pressure for one player to live up to, even one as confident as Harper. Joe makes another good point: Harper will want to break the bank. Harper could sign a 10-year contract that takes him from his age-26 through age-35 seasons, minimizing the number of post-peak years on the back end, unlike deals given to Albert Pujols and Robinson Cano in recent years that go until Pujols is 41 and Cano 40. As Posnanski writes, when teams sign players to long-term deals, they're essentially hoping they outperform the contract in the first few years, knowing regression may come in later years. That FanGraphs number Posnanski cites is Harper's estimated value earned in 2015, based on his 9.5 WAR and the going rate of teams spending about $8 million per WAR on the free-agent market.Īnyway, Harper's value lies in the fact that he'll be hitting the free-agent market at such a young age - and presumably will still be one of the best players in the game. Baseball teams have calculations they don’t share with the rest of us. They might not believe that Harper was really worth $76 million in 2015. Of course, baseball teams don’t go by Fangraphs numbers. Let’s say he’s half as good for another three years. Remember the Fangraphs number for his value in 2015? Of course, inflation drives up value - but even if you multiply $75.9 million by five, you come up with $380 million. That means the team that signs Harper - assuming he’s healthy and has put up similar years to his 2015 season - can bet heavily on five to seven great years, and perhaps two or three more good ones, if he can stay strong until his mid-30s. Most studies show that the 26-27-28 years are the typical peak for players with a slow decline until 31 or 32 when the decline speeds up considerably. ![]() Harper becomes a free agent after the 2018 season, which will be just after he turns 26 years old. ![]() Over at NBC Sports, Joe Posnanski speculates that when Washington Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper becomes a free agent after the 2018 season, he'll be in line for a $500 million contract: You think the money teams have spent this offseason has been insane? Well. You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browserīryce Harper: The first $500 million player? ![]()
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